Thursday, December 31, 2015

College Hockey Power Index

Since the beginning of the college hockey season, I have been compiling a rankings system that I believe truly justifies the top team in the NCAA. This venture started as an inspiration based off of the KPI (Kevin Pauga Index) and my new-found love for college hockey(I currently hold season tickets for Michigan State). These rankings are based off of four major components that consist of many different values:
1-Expected Victories based off of goals scored/allowed (Pythagorean W-L)
2-Strength of Schedule
3-Game Control
4-Scoring Efficiency

The statistics that go into these numbers are then compiled to create a "Score" that is then ranked and the 60 team CHPI is created. I decided to wait until the season got rolling a bit to post my first rankings, and so today on December 31, the inaugural CHPI will be shared online. Enjoy.

1- St Cloud State 2.051768
2- Quinnipiac 1.977385
3- Boston College 1.969773
4- Providence 1.950979
5- North Dakota 1.931831
6- Nebraska-Omaha 1.915856
7- Harvard 1.816663
8- Robert Morris 1.748739
9- Penn State 1.734684
10- Cornell 1.660277
11- St. Lawrence 1.649832
12- Michigan 1.636295
13- UMASS-Lowell 1.592167
14- Notre Dame 1.470884
15- Renesselaer 1.443368
16- Holy Cross 1.419919
17- Bowling Green 1.394381
18- Minnesota-Duluth 1.374383
19- New Hampshire 1.368074
20- Michigan Tech 1.365101
21- Boston U 1.34006
22- Yale 1.282587
23- Denver 1.273844
24- Merrimack 1.254102
25- Union 1.252959
26- Ohio State 1.196428
27- Anchorage 1.185033
28- Minnesota 1.178065
29- Mercyhurst 1.177392
30 -Minnesota St 1.138274
31 -Bentley 1.128762
32 -Ferris State 1.079956
33 -Northern MI 1.076374
34 -Vermont 1.060458
35 -Western MI 1.033069
36 -Wisconsin 1.03056
37 -Bemidji State 0.988824
38 -Michigan St 0.984547
39 -RIT 0.975032
40 -Air Force 0.964064
41 -Massachusetts 0.94212
42 -Miami 0.93801
43 -Clarkson 0.931406
44 -Brown 0.906548
45 -Sacred Heart 0.90201
46 -Connecticut 0.893237
47 Lake Superior State 0.876327
48- Alaska 0.874456
49- Princeton 0.850106
50- Alabama-Huntsville 0.796489
51- Army 0.794527
52- Colgate 0.765791
53- Northeastern 0.749195
54- Dartmouth 0.747605
55- Maine 0.742141
56- Canisius 0.730316
57- Niagara 0.665492
58- Colorado College 0.59005
59- American Intl 0.558149
60- Arizona State 0.50332

The plan is to release the rankings every week Tuesday-Thursday before the weekend series begin. This will continue until the conference tournaments/NCAA tournament begin when I will give predictions on the College Hockey postseason outlook.

Tuesday, December 8, 2015

WELCOME TO COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S WORST NIGHTMARE

So the CFP committee announced their four team field Sunday and nobody was surprised about a single selection, all teams are worthy of their respective shots at the CFP National Championship. Of course, there is always a complaint about expanding the College Football Playoff to 6 or 8 teams because some big name team is left out each year. As a result, I got crazy and with the combination of the CFP final rankings and the Sagarin College Football Rankings, I did the impossible and created the first annual Nick Tuori 128 team NCAA FBS College Football Championship. I will be using a combination of statistics and analytic methods to project the winners of the respective games and we will culminate with the first ever "True Champion" the same night of the CFP National Championship game (Jan 11).
The Playoff bracket layout consists of four "brackets" consisting of 4 "regions" of 8 teams a piece. The winner of region 1 plays the winner of region 16, region 2 v region 15, etc. Also, within each Region the 1v8, 2v7, 3v6, 4v5 matchups are shown below. Without further ado, here is the first annual NTCFC bracket:

BRACKET A
Region1
1 Clemson
8 Charlotte
4 Indiana
5 WesternMI
3 TexasAM
6 NewMexico
2 WestVirginia
7 OregonSt
Region16
1 OklahomaState
8 Kansas
4 PennState
5 Maryland
3 WashingtonSt
6 Kentucky
2 Baylor
7 Army
Region9
1 FloridaSt
8 TexasSt
4 GeorgiaTech
5 Air Force
3 WesternKY
6 Ohio
2 Temple
7 BallState
Region8
1 NotreDame
8 OldDominion
4 Arizona 
5 SouthernMiss
3 ArizonaSt
6 WakeForest
2 USC
7 FloridaAtlantic
BRACKET B
Region2
1 Alabama
8 EasternMI
4 Minnesota
5 S.Carolina
3 Pittsburgh
6 Purdue
2 Washington
7 GeorgiaSt
Region15
1 Oregon
8 Idaho
4 Nebraska
5 CentralMI
3 NCState
6 Vanderbilt
2 Houston
7 Tulane
Region10
1 N.Carolina
8 UTEP
4 SanDiegoSt
5 N.Illinois
3 BowlingGreen
6 Colorado
2 Tennessee
7 FloridaInt'l
Region7
1 Ohio St
8 Hawaii
4 Duke
5 Virginia
3 TexasTech
6 Tulsa
2 Arkansas
7 SMU
BRACKET C
Region3
1 MichiganState
8 NorthTexas
4 IowaState
5 Marshall
3 California
6 Nevada
2 UCLA
7 Troy
Region14
1 Michigan
8 UTSA
4 BoiseState
5 Syracuse
3 VirginiaTech
6 BostonCollege
2 Florida
7 UMASS
Region11
1 TCU
8 MiamiOH
4 KansasSt
5 LouisianaTech
3 Memphis
6 ColoradoSt
2 Utah
7 MiamiOH
Region6
1 Stanford
8 UCF
4 Cincinnati
5 Illinois
3 Auburn
6 Rutgers
2 Wisconsin
7
FresnoSt
BRACKET D
Region4
1 Oklahoma
8 ULMonroe
4 Missouri
5 ArkansasState
3 Louisville
6 SanJoseState
2 MississippiState
7 Buffalo
Region13
1 Northwestern
8 Wyoming
4 Texas
5 E.Carolina
3 MiamiFL
6 MiddleTennSt
2 LSU
7 Rice
Region12
1 Ole Miss
8 KentState
4 S.Florida
5 GeorgiaSouthern
3 Toledo
6 UCONN
2 Navy
7 Lafayette
Region5
1 Iowa
8 NewMexicoSt
4 AppalachianState
5 UtahSt
3 BYU
6 Akron
2 Georgia
7 UNLV

So obviously this is 64 different first round matchups, can you imagine the fun this would be on one single day/two days of college football?! The first round results will be posted Saturday night and the winners of each game will be advancing to the Round of 64. Stay tuned to find out College Football's first True Champion.