Thursday, January 7, 2016

College Hockey Power Index 1/7

Welcome to the second week of the CHPI, which was filled with a light schedule as a result of most schools still being on break. The biggest climb in the polls was the Dartmouth Big Green, who rose fourteen spots from 55 to 41. On the contrast, Brown, Maine and Mercyhurst all fell six spots. Without further ado, the latest CHPI rankings with a brief review of how the rankings are compiled.

These rankings are based off of four major components that consist of many different values:
1-Expected Victories based off of goals scored/allowed (Pythagorean W-L)
2-Strength of Schedule
3-Game Control
4-Scoring Efficiency

The January 7 College Hockey Power Index

1-St Cloud State   NCHC 2.112628
2-Boston College  HCKYE 1.969721
3-North Dakota NCHC 1.957811
4-Quinnipiac ECAC 1.956636
5-Nebraska-O NCHC 1.920704
6-Harvard ECAC 1.897867
7-Providence HCKYE 1.882921
8-Penn State B1G 1.729383
9-Cornell ECAC 1.664696
10-St. Lawrence ECAC 1.661099
11-Michigan B1G 1.636778
12-Rob. Morris ACHA 1.61929
13-UMASS-Lwl HCKYE 1.584811
14-Holy Cross ACHA 1.47138
15-Notre Dame HCKYE 1.445407
16-Bowling Grn WCHA 1.407581
17-Renesselaer ECAC 1.407106
18-Minn-Duluth NCHC 1.374566
19-Mich Tech WCHA 1.35598
20-Boston U HCKYE 1.335863
21-Union ECAC 1.331994
22-New Hamp HCKYE 1.331576
23-Yale ECAC 1.257565
24-Denver NCHC 1.209534
25-Ohio State B1G 1.187871
26-Anchorage WCHA 1.178804
27-Minnesota B1G 1.177174
28-Merrimack HCKYE 1.144884
29Minnesota St WCHA 1.136676
30-Bentley ACHA 1.131174
31-RIT ACHA 1.122453
32-Vermont HCKYE 1.111991
33-Ferris State WCHA 1.09702
34-Mercyhurst ACHA 1.080552
35-Northern MI WCHA 1.072706
36-Sacred Heart ACHA 1.068421
37-Western MI NCHC 1.03522
38-Wisconsin B1G 1.023277
39-Miami NCHC 1.005602
40-Bemidji St WCHA 0.989718
41-Dartmouth ECAC 0.989083
42-Michigan St B1G 0.982379
43-Air Force ACHA 0.981515
44-UMASS HCKYE 0.965942
45-Brown ECAC 0.941089
46-Clarkson ECAC 0.939239
47-Connecticut HCKYE 0.910424
48-Alaska WCHA 0.89154
49-Lake State WCHA 0.876511
50-Princeton ECAC 0.84621
51-Army ACHA 0.778678
52-Colgate ECAC 0.772251
53-Norteastern HCKYE 0.756337
54-AL-Hunstvlle WCHA 0.742092
55-Maine HCKYE 0.73996
56-Canisius ACHA 0.731994
57-Niagara ACHA 0.596968
58-Col. Collge NCHC 0.591595
59-Americn Intl ACHA 0.588042
60-Arizona St 0.423084

Thursday, December 31, 2015

College Hockey Power Index

Since the beginning of the college hockey season, I have been compiling a rankings system that I believe truly justifies the top team in the NCAA. This venture started as an inspiration based off of the KPI (Kevin Pauga Index) and my new-found love for college hockey(I currently hold season tickets for Michigan State). These rankings are based off of four major components that consist of many different values:
1-Expected Victories based off of goals scored/allowed (Pythagorean W-L)
2-Strength of Schedule
3-Game Control
4-Scoring Efficiency

The statistics that go into these numbers are then compiled to create a "Score" that is then ranked and the 60 team CHPI is created. I decided to wait until the season got rolling a bit to post my first rankings, and so today on December 31, the inaugural CHPI will be shared online. Enjoy.

1- St Cloud State 2.051768
2- Quinnipiac 1.977385
3- Boston College 1.969773
4- Providence 1.950979
5- North Dakota 1.931831
6- Nebraska-Omaha 1.915856
7- Harvard 1.816663
8- Robert Morris 1.748739
9- Penn State 1.734684
10- Cornell 1.660277
11- St. Lawrence 1.649832
12- Michigan 1.636295
13- UMASS-Lowell 1.592167
14- Notre Dame 1.470884
15- Renesselaer 1.443368
16- Holy Cross 1.419919
17- Bowling Green 1.394381
18- Minnesota-Duluth 1.374383
19- New Hampshire 1.368074
20- Michigan Tech 1.365101
21- Boston U 1.34006
22- Yale 1.282587
23- Denver 1.273844
24- Merrimack 1.254102
25- Union 1.252959
26- Ohio State 1.196428
27- Anchorage 1.185033
28- Minnesota 1.178065
29- Mercyhurst 1.177392
30 -Minnesota St 1.138274
31 -Bentley 1.128762
32 -Ferris State 1.079956
33 -Northern MI 1.076374
34 -Vermont 1.060458
35 -Western MI 1.033069
36 -Wisconsin 1.03056
37 -Bemidji State 0.988824
38 -Michigan St 0.984547
39 -RIT 0.975032
40 -Air Force 0.964064
41 -Massachusetts 0.94212
42 -Miami 0.93801
43 -Clarkson 0.931406
44 -Brown 0.906548
45 -Sacred Heart 0.90201
46 -Connecticut 0.893237
47 Lake Superior State 0.876327
48- Alaska 0.874456
49- Princeton 0.850106
50- Alabama-Huntsville 0.796489
51- Army 0.794527
52- Colgate 0.765791
53- Northeastern 0.749195
54- Dartmouth 0.747605
55- Maine 0.742141
56- Canisius 0.730316
57- Niagara 0.665492
58- Colorado College 0.59005
59- American Intl 0.558149
60- Arizona State 0.50332

The plan is to release the rankings every week Tuesday-Thursday before the weekend series begin. This will continue until the conference tournaments/NCAA tournament begin when I will give predictions on the College Hockey postseason outlook.

Tuesday, December 8, 2015

WELCOME TO COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S WORST NIGHTMARE

So the CFP committee announced their four team field Sunday and nobody was surprised about a single selection, all teams are worthy of their respective shots at the CFP National Championship. Of course, there is always a complaint about expanding the College Football Playoff to 6 or 8 teams because some big name team is left out each year. As a result, I got crazy and with the combination of the CFP final rankings and the Sagarin College Football Rankings, I did the impossible and created the first annual Nick Tuori 128 team NCAA FBS College Football Championship. I will be using a combination of statistics and analytic methods to project the winners of the respective games and we will culminate with the first ever "True Champion" the same night of the CFP National Championship game (Jan 11).
The Playoff bracket layout consists of four "brackets" consisting of 4 "regions" of 8 teams a piece. The winner of region 1 plays the winner of region 16, region 2 v region 15, etc. Also, within each Region the 1v8, 2v7, 3v6, 4v5 matchups are shown below. Without further ado, here is the first annual NTCFC bracket:

BRACKET A
Region1
1 Clemson
8 Charlotte
4 Indiana
5 WesternMI
3 TexasAM
6 NewMexico
2 WestVirginia
7 OregonSt
Region16
1 OklahomaState
8 Kansas
4 PennState
5 Maryland
3 WashingtonSt
6 Kentucky
2 Baylor
7 Army
Region9
1 FloridaSt
8 TexasSt
4 GeorgiaTech
5 Air Force
3 WesternKY
6 Ohio
2 Temple
7 BallState
Region8
1 NotreDame
8 OldDominion
4 Arizona 
5 SouthernMiss
3 ArizonaSt
6 WakeForest
2 USC
7 FloridaAtlantic
BRACKET B
Region2
1 Alabama
8 EasternMI
4 Minnesota
5 S.Carolina
3 Pittsburgh
6 Purdue
2 Washington
7 GeorgiaSt
Region15
1 Oregon
8 Idaho
4 Nebraska
5 CentralMI
3 NCState
6 Vanderbilt
2 Houston
7 Tulane
Region10
1 N.Carolina
8 UTEP
4 SanDiegoSt
5 N.Illinois
3 BowlingGreen
6 Colorado
2 Tennessee
7 FloridaInt'l
Region7
1 Ohio St
8 Hawaii
4 Duke
5 Virginia
3 TexasTech
6 Tulsa
2 Arkansas
7 SMU
BRACKET C
Region3
1 MichiganState
8 NorthTexas
4 IowaState
5 Marshall
3 California
6 Nevada
2 UCLA
7 Troy
Region14
1 Michigan
8 UTSA
4 BoiseState
5 Syracuse
3 VirginiaTech
6 BostonCollege
2 Florida
7 UMASS
Region11
1 TCU
8 MiamiOH
4 KansasSt
5 LouisianaTech
3 Memphis
6 ColoradoSt
2 Utah
7 MiamiOH
Region6
1 Stanford
8 UCF
4 Cincinnati
5 Illinois
3 Auburn
6 Rutgers
2 Wisconsin
7
FresnoSt
BRACKET D
Region4
1 Oklahoma
8 ULMonroe
4 Missouri
5 ArkansasState
3 Louisville
6 SanJoseState
2 MississippiState
7 Buffalo
Region13
1 Northwestern
8 Wyoming
4 Texas
5 E.Carolina
3 MiamiFL
6 MiddleTennSt
2 LSU
7 Rice
Region12
1 Ole Miss
8 KentState
4 S.Florida
5 GeorgiaSouthern
3 Toledo
6 UCONN
2 Navy
7 Lafayette
Region5
1 Iowa
8 NewMexicoSt
4 AppalachianState
5 UtahSt
3 BYU
6 Akron
2 Georgia
7 UNLV

So obviously this is 64 different first round matchups, can you imagine the fun this would be on one single day/two days of college football?! The first round results will be posted Saturday night and the winners of each game will be advancing to the Round of 64. Stay tuned to find out College Football's first True Champion.